Will "A Selection of Randomly Selected SAE Features" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2
Ṁ120Ṁ201Feb 1
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post A Selection of Randomly Selected SAE Features is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Claude Opus 4.6 is Driven" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Unexpected Things that are People" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Negative Results for SAEs On Downstream Tasks..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
39% chance
Will "PSA: The LessWrong Feedback Service" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "The Best Reference Works for Every Subject" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "AI 2027: Responses" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Surprises and learnings from almost two month..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "Scientific breakthroughs of the year" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Some articles in “International Security” tha..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance