Will "A Case for Model Persona Research" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
3
Ṁ1kṀ922027
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post A Case for Model Persona Research is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will "My model of what is going on with LLMs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Small Models Can Introspect, Too" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
23% chance
Will "The behavioral selection model for predicting..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "Unexpected Things that are People" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "The Tale of the Top-Tier Intellect" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Judgements: Merging Prediction & Evidence" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The Case Against AI Control Research" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
69% chance
Will "Do models say what they learn?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Model Organisms for Emergent Misalignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Good Research Takes are Not Sufficient for Go..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance