Donkey Kong Bananza MEGAMARKET
6
700Ṁ3800
Feb 15
99%
It will have sold over 3.5 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
92%
It will be nominated for at least one award at the Game Awards 2025
88%
It will have sold over 4 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
76%
It will win an award at the Game Awards 2025
57%
It will have sold over 4.5 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
52%
It will have sold over 5 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
51%
It will be nominated for multiple awards at the Game Awards 2025
34%
It will win multiple awards at the Game Awards 2025
26%
It will have sold over 6 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
17%
It will have sold over 7 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
11%
It will have sold over 8 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
10%
It will have sold over 9 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
9%
It will have sold over 10 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
8%
It will have sold over 12 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
4%
It will have sold over 15 million copies by the end of calendar year 2025
Resolved
YES
It will get a Metascore of 60 or more
Resolved
YES
It will get a Metascore of 65 or more
Resolved
YES
It will get a Metascore of 70 or more
Resolved
YES
It will get a Metascore of 75 or more
Resolved
YES
It will get a Metascore of 80 or more

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donkey_Kong_Bananza

Additional market questions are encouraged! Anything objectively quantifiable about the game (the appearance of a specific character, 2 player functionality, etc.) is fine.

Resolution source for sales figures will be based on the quarterly financial results provided in Nintendo investor briefings. Calendar year 2025 sales numbers should be out in February. I reserve the right to edit the closing date based on the exact time this quarterly briefing is scheduled (date is always revealed ahead of time).

Metascores will be checked sometime after 2 weeks after release, to give time for the bulk of initial reviews to come in.

I may bet in this market.

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