Will North Korea attempt a major military invasion of South Korea by Jan 1, 2025?
16
Ṁ1kṀ2.2kresolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if any attempt is made at capturing territory greater than 25km^2 at the time of market open belonging to the Republic of Korea.
Territory considered to be part of the DMZ is NOT included unless the officially stated (or widely understood) aim is the capture of additional territory beyond it (a skirmish over a strip of minefield by low level officers will NOT resolve to YES).
An attempt that fails to actually capture any territory will still resolve to YES if the aim was understood or officially stated as the capture of more than 25km^2 of territory.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ25 | |
| 2 | Ṁ13 | |
| 3 | Ṁ12 | |
| 4 | Ṁ9 | |
| 5 | Ṁ7 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will North Korea attempt to invade South Korea before 2035?
25% chance
Will North Korea invade South Korea by 2035?
23% chance
Will there be a full-scale war between North Korea and South Korea by 2050?
22% chance
Will North Korea attack South Korea's outlying islands, causing fatalities, before 2030?
26% chance
Will North Korea collapse before the end of 2030?
16% chance
Will South Korea acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
34% chance