Will a Falcon 9 launch from the Guiana Space Centre before 2030?
7
Ṁ150Ṁ4612029
6%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Falcon Heavy would also count
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
What year will Starship launch at least as many times as Falcon 9?
How many flights to orbit will Falcon 9 have made by the time it retires?
Will an Indian rocket launch from the Guiana Space Centre before 2030?
33% chance
Will New Glenn launch more than Falcon 9 in 2030?
41% chance
Will SpaceX fly a reusable Falcon 9 second stage before 2030?
3% chance
Will Elon Musk be in the space before 2030?
13% chance
Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?
5% chance
Will SpaceX launch a non-SpaceX payload on Starship before 2030?
56% chance
Will Falcon 9/FH Launch More Mass to Orbit than Starship in 2027?
86% chance
Will Falcon 9 have a second in-flight Anomaly in 2026?
24% chance