During 2024, will a US ship clash with a Chinese ship at Sabina Shoal?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ152resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
US ship: Navy or Coast Guard
Chinese ship: Navy, Coast Guard or Maritime Militia
Clash: physical contact or projectile weapons fired (INCLUDING WATER CANNON). Reports of sonic or laser weapons fired will also cause a YES resolution
This is a deliberately 'low-bar' market primarily testing whether the US and China have any appetite for conflict with each other over the Chinese-Filipino Sabina Shoal dispute.
I will not bet in this market
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ31 | |
| 2 | Ṁ9 | |
| 3 | Ṁ9 | |
| 4 | Ṁ4 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Chinese navy or coast guard ship sink a Filipino navy or coast guard ship before 2027?
20% chance
Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2027?
47% chance
Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near Sabine Shoal before 2027?
61% chance
Will China occupy the Second Thomas Shoal before 2030?
55% chance
Will there be a cuban missile crisis level incident in the south china sea by end of 2027?
38% chance
Will a Filipino, Chinese or US national be killed on or near the Second Thomas Shoal before 2027?
51% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?
20% chance
Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?
17% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?
48% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?
19% chance