By 2040, will a chamber have been found in or under the Great Sphinx that represents a significant discovery? | Manifold

By 2040, will a chamber have been found in or under the Great Sphinx that represents a significant discovery?

By 2040, will a chamber have been found in or under the Great Sphinx that represents a significant discovery?

20

1kṀ333

2040

32%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

'represents a significant discovery':

- the chamber contains items that hold significant financial value, either inherently or through their context

-the chamber contains items that change our understanding of the sphinx, or ancient Egypt

-the chamber itself changes our understanding of the sphinx, or ancient Egypt

Resolves on content of mainstream media reporting and a consensus of reported/recorded academic opinion

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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.

Why use play money?

Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.

Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.

Related questions

By 2040, will we believe that the head of the Great Sphinx was substantially recarved after its initial construction?

By 2040, will we believe the Great Sphinx was built substantially before the pyramids at Giza?

Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to the Great Pyramid, from before 11,000 BC?

Will any other research team find obelisks before 2030?

Major archaeological discovery rivaling Göbekli Tepe by 2043?

Will remains of a pharaoh be found in Sahure's pyramid?

Is there a vast complex of underground chambers and shafts extending nearly two kilometers under the pyramids?

Will the Great Pyramid of Giza still be standing in 4,500 years?

Will the remains of a full-scale city dating to before 12,000 years ago be found by the end of 2030?

Will an AI-conducted archaeological analysis uncover a previously unknown civilization by 2030?

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