Terminally Ill Adults Bill UK (assisted dying)
1
Ṁ1kṀ502027
69%
Bill receives royal assent before EOY 2027
50%
Bill receives royal assent this parliamentary session
50%
Bill passes Lords with significant amendments before EOY 2027
50%
Bill passes Lords with minimal amendments before EOY 2027
50%
Bill rejected at Lords Third Reading before EOY 2027
50%
Bill stalls in Lords committee stage through EOY 2027
50%
Bill reintroduced in 2026-27 session and passes both Houses
50%
Bill reintroduced in 2026-27 session but fails again
50%
Parliament Act used in second session (2026-27) to pass bill
50%
Bill passes Lords but Commons rejects Lords amendments before EOY 2027
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Terminally Ill Adults (End of Life) Bill become law?
83% chance
Will Norway leglize assisted suicide before end of 2030 ?
23% chance
Will there be a publicly livestreamed legally assisted suicide by the end of 2030?
17% chance
Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030
18% chance