Mutual defence clause of NATO triggered before 2026
12
100Ṁ466Dec 31
5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
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Resolves YES if Article V of the NATO constitution is triggered before January 1st 2026 (GMT), otherwise resolves NO.
NATO Article V has been triggered only once before, after the 9/11 attacks on the United States.
Will resolve based on the preponderance of evidence available to the public on January 1st 2026. I may bet a small amount of mana on this market (<100 mana).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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