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Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision in October
20
Ṁ100Ṁ2.2k
resolved Oct 29
100%98.3%
25 bps decrease
0.1%
Increase
1.1%
No change
0.5%
50+ bps decrease

The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision in October will be closely watched as markets weigh inflation pressures, employment data, and overall economic conditions. This market resolves based on the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) official decision on the federal funds target rate range at its October 2025 meeting.

Resolution Criteria:

  • “25+ bps Increase” — The Fed raises rates by at least 25 basis points.

  • “No change” — The Fed keeps the target range unchanged.

  • “25 bps decrease” — The Fed cuts the rate by exactly 25 basis points.

  • “50+ bps decrease” — The Fed cuts the rate by 50 basis points or more.

Resolves according to the official post-meeting statement published on the Federal Reserve’s website.

Market context
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