Will Troy Jackson get 50% or more in the first round of the Maine senate election?
6
Ṁ1kṀ1kNov 4
64%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if Troy Jackson gets 50% or more in the first round, and thus wins the election without requiring ranked choice voting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which Party will win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?
Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election?
69% chance
Troy Jackson wins 2026 US Senate election in Maine?
69% chance
Troy Jackson wins 2026 US Senate election in Maine?
69% chance
IF Troy Jackson is the Maine senate nominee for democrats, will Joe Biden endorse or campaign for him?
32% chance
IF Troy Jackson is the Maine senate nominee for democrats, will Joe Biden endorse or campaign for him?
32% chance
Will Democratic candidate Troy Jackson win Hancock County in the ME-SEN election?
79% chance
If this person is the Democratic Senate candidate for Maine, will they win the 2026 election?
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in Maine?
67% chance
Will Kurt Alme get 50.000% or more of the vote in the 2026 senate election in Montana?
35% chance