MANIFOLD
Will the first openly gay man in the US Senate be a Democrat?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ77
2030
81%
chance

Resolves yes if the first openly gay man to the senate is a democrat or caucuses with the democrats.

Must be openly gay. Speculation doesn’t count. Bisexual doesn’t count.

If A Democrat and a Republican/non Democrat gay man are elected at the same time, will resolve 50-50.

Must be currently serving or about to be elected.

Former senator coming out as gay doesn’t count.

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