MANIFOLD
Will Graham Platner perform better than the Alaskan Democratic candidate for senate?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ3.3k
Nov 3
78%
chance

Resolves YES if the platner wins by a larger margin than the Alaskan Democratic Senate candidate. Eg. If platner wins 52-48 and the Alaskan Dem Senate candidate (likely peltola) wins 50-49, resolves Yes. If platner wins by less than Alaskan Dems margin, resolves no. If both candidates lose, resolves Yes if platner loses by less than Alaskan Dem.

N/a if platner not candidate

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Get 50 of you together, each ask 60 people a day who they'll vote for, do this until Nov 3rd, and you'll have asked the whole population.

(50 * 60 * 8 months * 30 days in a month) approximately = 733,000 population.

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