Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the total number of prediction markets (contracts) created on Manifold on or before July 15, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC that are either tagged with official FIFA World Cup topics or directly mention "FIFA World Cup" in their title.

A qualifying market must satisfy at least one of the following criteria:

1. Topic/Group tags: The market is tagged with the topic "2026 FIFA World Cup" (slug: 2026-fifa-world-cup), "FIFA World Cup" (slug: fifa-world-cup), or "FIFA World Cup Props" (slug: fifa-world-cup-props).

2. Text search: The market contains the exact phrase "FIFA World Cup" or "World Cup 2026" (case-insensitive) in its title.

Verification: The creator will determine the count using Manifold's database/search tool or the public API (https://api.manifold.markets/v0/search-markets) to count unique markets meeting these criteria with a creation timestamp (createdTime) on or before the cutoff.

This is a multi-numeric market with a disabled answers list. The answer option containing the final validated count will resolve YES, and all other options will resolve NO.

Background

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is the 23rd FIFA World Cup, taking place from June 11 to July 19, 2026, and jointly hosted by Canada, Mexico, and the United States. Because of the expanded 48-team format (featuring 104 matches instead of the traditional 64), sports betting and prediction activity on Manifold is expected to scale significantly. July 15, 2026, represents the final stretch of the tournament, occurring just four days before the World Cup Final.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.