MANIFOLD
Jair Bolsonaro dies before 2030?
10
Ṁ100Ṁ102
2030
29%
chance

He's been doing multiple surgeries because of the stab in 2018

Market context
Politics
Brazil
Bolsonaro
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Jair Bolsonaro leaves Brazilian jurisdiction before October 4th 2026?
19% chance
How much time will Jair Bolsonaro spend in jail (not house arrest) by Dec 31, 2031?
Will Bolsonaro be declared ineligible for the 2030 general elections?
85% chance
Donald Trump dies before 2036?
94% chance
Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Raul Castro dies before 2027?
42% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be on the ballot in the next Brazilian presidential elections?
3% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro run for the Senate in 2026?
5% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5% chance
Will Joe Biden still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
63% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy