Resolution criteria

This market resolves to "Yes" if the final probability of this question, expressed as a percentage, is an odd number (e.g., 1%, 3%, 5%, etc.). Otherwise, it resolves to "No." The final probability is determined at the market's close.

Background

In probability theory, the parity (odd or even nature) of a number refers to whether it is divisible by 2. An odd number has a remainder of 1 when divided by 2, while an even number has no remainder. This concept is fundamental in various mathematical contexts. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

The final probability is typically rounded to the nearest whole number percentage. Therefore, probabilities like 50.5% would be considered 51% (odd), while 49.4% would be 49% (odd). Traders should be aware of how rounding may affect the outcome.