Grok 3 API available to developers before April 15, 2025
Grok 3 API available to developers before April 15, 2025
3
150Ṁ300Apr 17
91%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if the Grok 3 API is made available to developers before April 15, 2025, and NO otherwise.
Resolution will be based on official announcements from xAI or documentation showing the API is live for developers.
References:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Grok 4 before 2026?
78% chance
will xAI open-source Grok 2 by April 30?
32% chance
When will xAI release Grok 4?
Will future versions of Grok be open sourced?
60% chance
Will xAI open source Grok 2 before April?
62% chance
Will Grok 4 release before Chat GPT 5?
17% chance
What will be true of Grok-2?
What exactly will xAI open source, when they "open source" their AI language model "Grok" ?