What will be the *first* ELO Rating of Claude 3.5 Opus in the LMSYS Arena?
14
Ṁ100Ṁ2.2kDec 31
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
4%
1270-1289
10%
1290-1309
87%
1310+
The FIRST appearance on the LMSYS Arena leaderboard will count unambiguously.
For context:
Opus has an ELO of 1247
3.5 Sonnet has an ELO of 1271
GPT-4o has an ELO of 1287
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000