Add your own answers. Any option resolves YES when that person is officially sworn in as First Minister, and resolves NO if that person dies.

This is about leading the Scottish Government. If the title changes, I'll edit the market. If Scotland gains independence, market stays open and options can still resolve YES. If an independent Scotland does something weird like introduce a president, this market becomes about the role that I think is closest to the current "First Minister" role. (I.e. the person who is actually running the country.)

I think there's a limit of 100 live options at a given time, so I reserve the right to NA any responses that I think are silly.

I will bet in this market, but in the very unlikely event that drastic constitutional changes require me to use my judgement as outlined above, I won't abuse my position to make profit.

Close date extends indefinitely.