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MANIFOLD
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?
4
Ṁ300Ṁ424
2029
60%
At least 58
62%
At least 56
67%
At least 55
72%
At least 54
76%
At least 53
32%
At least 60
80%
At least 52
86%
At least 51
90%
At least 50
91%
At least 49
93%
At least 48
95%
At least 47

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenateseatsd/democratic-senate-seat-count/kxsenateseatsd-29

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic Party holds at least 58 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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