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MANIFOLD
California's 37th District margin of victory
6
Ṁ250Ṁ4k
2027
36%
Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 27+ pts
40%
Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 25+ pts
30%
Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 30+ pts
93%
Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 22+ pts
95%
Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 20+ pts
5%
Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 35+ pts
94%
Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 5+ pts
92%
Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 15+ pts
3%
Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 40+ pts
97%
Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 10+ pts

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca37skam

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Kalshi's rules: If Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 37th District by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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