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MANIFOLD
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
4
Ṁ225Ṁ3.2k
2027
99%
At least 38%
97%
At least 42%
93%
At least 44%
93%
At least 40%
91%
At least 46%
75%
At least 48%
40%
At least 50%
10%
At least 52%
7%
At least 54%

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral/vote-percentages-in-us-general-elections/kxvotegeneral-govak-26jkre

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Kalshi's rules: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

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