Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Browse
Prize Drawing
Predictle
About
App
Sign up
Get
1,000
to start trading!
Open options
More
MANIFOLD
Sign up
Open options
Will xAI/Grok be on the Felonybench scoreboard by end of 2026?
Evan
8
Ṁ1k
Ṁ540
Dec 31
45%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Bet YES
Bet NO
https://www.felonybench.com/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
AI
AI Impacts
Technical AI Timelines
AI Safety
XAI
Follow
Sign up
Get
1,000
to start trading!
Comments
7 Holders
14 Trades
Open options
People are also trading
Grok 5 (xAI) release date
Bayesian
Will xAI be #1 on Artificial Analysis Index by EOY 2026?
prismatic
18%
chance
Will xAI have an AI model restricted from public use in 2026?
Genzy
9%
chance
will x.ai move away from "Grok" branding in 2026?
duck_master
3%
chance
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
jjjj
28%
chance
Related questions
Grok 5 (xAI) release date
Bayesian
Will xAI be #1 on Artificial Analysis Index by EOY 2026?
prismatic
18%
chance
Will xAI have an AI model restricted from public use in 2026?
Genzy
9%
chance
will x.ai move away from "Grok" branding in 2026?
duck_master
3%
chance
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
jjjj
28%
chance
Scroll to top
Browse
Prize
Yap
About
Sign in