MANIFOLD
Will a Democrat win Kansas for President by 2050?
3
Ṁ90Ṁ50
2050
55%
chance

Resolves YES if a Democrat wins Kansas in a presidential election before 2050 (in one of the 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, or 2048 elections). Resolves NO if they lose all of them.

If another party displaces the Democrats and they win, I'll still resolve this as NO.

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