
1B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030
4
Ṁ115Ṁ322030
55%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
One of the 2023 fellows will have founded a company with valuation >1B by 2030
Note: it should be a single company; two fellows companies of 500m each does not count.
The list:
Akshaya Dinesh: Spellbound
Alex Singer: Voldex
Ethan Thornton: Mach Industries
Hugo Chrost: Solvemed
Ian Michael Brock: Dream Hustle Code
Jake Adler: Neusleep
John Guibas: Succinct
John McElhone: CropSafe
Kai Micah Mills: Cryopets
Kesava Kirupa Dinakaran: Luminai
Kian Sadeghi: Nucleus Genomics
Markie Wagner: Delphi Labs
Michael Ioffe: Arist
Nik Shevchenko: WeLoveNoCode
Quinn Favret: Tavus
Reiss Jones: Macro Energy
Samarth Athreya: Axiome
Sara Du: Mutiny
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026
10B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030
33% chance
A least twenty Thiel fellow founded companies are estimated to be worth >1B USD before 2034
67% chance
Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?
31% chance
What will be the first one-person company to reach a $1 billion valuation?
Value of largest company end of 2035?
56
Anthropic highest valuation by end of March 2027
AI: Valuation above $1T by 2030
74% chance
A company Martin Shkreli founds is valued at >1b before 2028
13% chance
AI: Valuation above $1T by 2035
84% chance