Who is winning among frontier AI companies?
5
Ṁ225Ṁ1312032
12%
Open AI
35%
Anthropic
23%
Google DeepMind
5%
Meta
5%
xAI
5%
Microsoft
5%
Deep seek
3%
Apple
5%
Indefinite market to bet on who you think will win
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?
32% chance
Will OpenAI, Deepmind, or Anthropic be the next to release a frontier LLM?
Which company has the best AI model end of February 2026? (LMArena)
Which AI company first solves FrontierMath 85%?
Frontier labs ~trusted by the AI safety community at the end of 2026?
AWS or Microsoft release own frontier AI model?
75% chance
Which of these AI companies will shut down first?
Will there be a significant advancement in frontier AI model architecture by end of year 2026?
30% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
35% chance
The AI company with the smartest AI system by the end of 2026