This market resolves to "Yes" if Russia uses a nuclear weapon in a direct military application (not a test) before January 20, 2025. Direct military application includes any intentional use as a weapon during a conflict but excludes tests, accidents, or threats.

The market resolves to "N/A" if Russia ceases to exist before this date for reasons unrelated to the use of nuclear weapons. If no such use occurs by the deadline and Russia continues to exist, the market resolves to "No."