Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
When will Earth-originating life become Kardashev 0.9 total or higher?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ77
2526
43%
2026-2075
28%
2076-2125
14%
2126-2225
15%
Other

0.9 on Sagan's logarithmic scale, i.e. about a hundred times more than in the 1970s; total energy used across all inhabited locations.

Market context
Space exploration
Aliens
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Conditional on humanity reaching Kardashev stage 2, what will be the primary source of energy when it does?
Does a civilization with Kardashev rating equal or greater than 1 exist in the Milky Way?
25% chance
Will K2-18b be generally agreed to harbor alien life by 2027?
5% chance
By 2060, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?
29% chance
Will NASA announce that there is life on K2-18b with a high degree probability before January 1st, 2027?
2% chance
By the end of 2040, will there be strong evidence of life (of non-terrestrial origin) in our solar system?
33% chance
By 2050, will humanity harness and utilize energy on a scale approaching Type I on the Kardashev scale?
10% chance
Majority of scientists believe there's life on K2-18 b before 2027?
5% chance
Will basedbeffjezos be alive to see humanity become a kardashev level one civilization
26% chance
Will proof of life of extraterrestrial origin be found by 2100?
66% chance