MANIFOLD
Will Melania divorce or separate from Trump by 2050?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ180
2050
11%
chance

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve as YES if, at any time before January 1, 2050:

  • Melania Trump files for legal separation or divorce from Donald Trump

  • Donald Trump files for legal separation or divorce from Melania Trump

  • The couple announces a formal separation (even without legal proceedings)

The market will resolve as NO if:

  • Melania and Donald Trump remain married without separation until January 1, 2050

  • Donald Trump passes away before 2050 while still married to Melania, vice versa

Market context
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she would likely divorce if he went to prison IMO so this could be a derivative market of the prison one?

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