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MANIFOLD
China uses military force to take Taiwan by July 1, 2026
14
Ṁ100Ṁ2k
Jun 30
1.8%
chance

The United States is currently embroiled in a potential forever in Iran. China is aware of the United State’s current military weakness because of that. President Donald Trump is going to China this month to negotiate a deal. Is it possible in his transactional nature, to trade Taiwan to China for an unlimited access to their semiconductor manufacturing?

This question will resolve yes if: Chinese troops put boots on the ground in Taiwan and have stated that they have control of the government in Taiwan before July 1, 2026

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