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MANIFOLD
Which party will place second in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election (votes)?
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78%
Reform UK
21%
Scottish Labour Party
0.2%
Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party
0.2%
Scottish Liberal Democrats
0.3%
Scottish Green Party

With the Scottish National Party (SNP) being heavy favourites to finish first, second place is a more interesting question. This market resolves based on popular vote share in the May 7 2026 Scottish Parliament election.

Resolves to whichever party receives the second highest share of the popular vote on election night. If the SNP or any party not listed as an option finishes second, the market resolves N/A.

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