ChrisGreene avatar
ChrisGreene avatar
Chris Greene
@ChrisGreene
1 Following3 Followers
Portfolio
Ṁ2,654
net worth
Ṁ81
balance
Ṁ2,573
invested
Ṁ11
profit
Trades
Question
Value
Position
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
39%•1mo
Ṁ1,446
+17%
Ṁ3,705
YES
Which Company or Lab will release a Quantum Computer that can break RSA-2048 first
6mo
Ṁ182
+5%
Ṁ193
Will Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?
38%•8mo
Ṁ448
+16%
Ṁ1,168
YES
If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
78%•10mo
Ṁ55
+12%
Ṁ71
YES
Will the US and China go to war this century?
47%•12mo
Ṁ105
+5%
Ṁ223
YES
Will China go to war with Taiwan before Israel goes to war with a nation in the middle east
25%•12mo
Ṁ10
+1%
Ṁ13
NO
AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]
2,031•12mo
Ṁ108
-2%
Ṁ5,561
Will a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?
63%•1y
Ṁ8
-10%
Ṁ14
YES
Russia-NATO war vs. Putin president
1y
Ṁ37
+25%
Ṁ91
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
1y
Ṁ36
-55%
Ṁ1,110
Will Google release a model that refuses to talk about Tiananmen square, before 2026?
10%•1y
Ṁ3
-65%
Ṁ33
YES
When will Quantum computing become viable?
2029•1y
Ṁ332
+20%
Ṁ440
NO
How will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?
1y
Ṁ13
-3%
Ṁ15
Next US government shutdown (with furlough)
1y
Ṁ0
-98%
Ṁ26
Will personally-produced data be considered personal property according to US law by 2040?
27%•1y
Ṁ10
+9%
Ṁ15
NO
Will DJB win his FOIA lawsuit against NIST?
65%•1y
Ṁ10
+1%
Ṁ15
YES
SHA256 collision by 2032-06-18?
18%•1y
Ṁ30
+0%
Ṁ36
NO
Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?
18%•1y
Ṁ66
-12%
Ṁ368
YES
High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2030?
31%•1y
Ṁ8
-11%
Ṁ12
NO
Will the Chinese communist party stay in power till 2033?
86%•1y
Ṁ10
+10%
Ṁ12
YES
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