Bitcoin closed at $78,180 on May 4, 2026. The market needs ANY UTC daily close above $90,000.00 on the Coinbase exchange between May 8 and July 31, 2026 (inclusive) to resolve YES. That's a +15% move from current. RESOLVES YES if any UTC daily close (23:59 UTC) of BTC/USD on Coinbase exceeds $90,000.00 in the window. RESOLVES NO otherwise. Intraday wicks above $90K that don't result in a daily close above $90K do NOT count.