will the "AI movie to a prompt" market stay above 65% for a week straight before the end of 2025?
53
1kṀ38k
Jan 1
10%
chance

Must not dip below 65% at any point during a week straight to resolve YES.
If this has not happened at the end of 2025, resolves NO

The market in question:


(I'll bet on this market and that one)

Technology
AI
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will AI generate a decent commercial before 2026?
63% chance
If the big 2028 AI Movie market resolves YES, which of the following will be true 3 months later?
Will the "AI Longbets Turing Test by 2029" market go above 80% by EOY 2026?
64% chance
Derivatives markets: Will Scott Alexander's "2028 AI movie market" be above 50% on Jan 1 in each year?
Will an AI-created movie have 100mm views by 2028?
94% chance
Will the "Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?" market be above 5% on January 1, 2029 12:00AM EST?
5% chance
In 2038, will a movie be able to generate a high-quality AI to a prompt?
70% chance
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
77% chance
In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?
25% chance
Will an AI-created movie have a rating >=7.5 on IMDB by 2028?
27% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy