Which of these people will be alive in the year we get ASI?
9
Ṁ925Ṁ8242199
50%
14th Dalai Lama
71%
Benjamin Netanyahu
57%
Bill Wyman
50%
Bjarne Stroustrup
57%
Brian May
50%
Charles III
1%
Chuck Norris
57%
Curtis Yarvin
34%
Donald Trump
72%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
41%
George Takei
57%
Iggy Pop
71%
JD Vance
57%
Jimmy Page
34%
Joe Biden
50%
John Deacon
57%
John Lydon
50%
John Paul Jones (musician)
50%
Keith Richards
50%
Ken Thompson
"We get ASI" = 1 January of the year before the first of the questions in this series to resolve YES (e.g. if https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2034 resolves NO and https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2035 resolves YES, this question resolves based on who is alive on 1 Jan 2024).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get ASI before 2035?
66% chance
Will we get ASI before 2030?
22% chance
Will we get ASI before 2028?
9% chance
Will we get ASI before 2029?
12% chance
Will Clint Eastwood, William Shatner, and Rita Moreno all be alive on Thanksgiving 2026?
87% chance
Will we get ASI before 2033?
51% chance
How many years from 13/03/2025 until ASI?
14.6
Will we get ASI before 2027?
2% chance
Will we get ASI before 2036?
66% chance
Will we get ASI before 2031?
30% chance