What percentage of their total claims will customers receive in the first installment issued by FTX International?
What percentage of their total claims will customers receive in the first installment issued by FTX International?
1
120Ṁ1762026
83%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to the earliest of:
The US Debtors first reimbursement to an FTX International customer
The Bahamas liquidators first reimbursement to an FTX International customer
It does not matter when the payment is received or whether it is blocked by a third party (e.g. customs or foreign government).
The percentage is the amount of first reimbursement divided by the agreed total claim.
Deadline extends until resolved.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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