How many more pull-ups will shalan do than I will, at the end of this year
Basic
2
Ṁ55Jan 1
1
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
My coworker Shalan and I are going to do a pull up contest at the end of this year.
This market will resolve to Shalan’s pull-ups minus my pull-ups. Positive if Shalan does more, negative if I do more. In the unlikely event of greater than 10 or less than -10, it will resolve to 10 or -10
David will judge the contest and he is very strict.
Shalan climbs at gyms a couple times a week. Shalan’s baseline was 5, but Helen thinks she was sandbagging. I’m in a bet to go to the gym 200 times this year. My baseline was 2, and I was definitely not sandbagging.
Shalan and I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will I be able to do 15 pull-ups by end of
2024? (up from 4 in 2023)
70% chance
Will I manage to squat 3 plates this year?
20% chance
What's the highest grade of climb I will finish by the end of the year?
Will I exceed my all-time PRs in the Big 3 Lifts before the end of 2024?
66% chance
Will I work out every week at least 3 times from now to the end of 2024
53% chance
Will @AlexShadley and I go to the gym a combined 400 times in 2024?
13% chance