In what year will human civilization build a Dyson Sphere?
10
1kṀ1811
2200
6%
2025-2049
12%
2050-2074
9%
2075-2099
8%
2100-2149
7%
2150-2199
58%
Never

Resolution Criteria

  1. Energy Capture threshold:

    • The structure must capture and utilize at least 1% of the Sun's total energy output.

    • Official measurements from at least 3 independent space agencies confirm the energy capture threshold has been reached.

  2. Specifications:

    • The structure(s) can be of any design: Dyson Sphere, Dyson Swarm, etc

  3. Human Civilization Origination:

    • The structure has to be built by humans or aligned artificial intelligence or rogue artificial intelligence originating from earth; or a cooperation between humans and AI. Discovery of Dyson sphere built by Extraterrestrial aliens does not count.

Fine Print:

If the resolution criteria are unsatisfied by Jan 1, 2200 the market resolves to “Never.”

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