=On which date will Qwen 4 officially launch?
7
Ṁ125Ṁ601Dec 10
November 10, 2026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2%
Before Nov 9, 2026
30%
Before Nov 10, 2026
30%
Before Nov 11, 2026
80%
Before Nov 12, 2026
85%
Before Nov 13, 2026
This market resolves based on the official release date of the first Qwen 4 model, using Beijing Time (UTC+8).
A release qualifies when Alibaba/Qwen officially makes at least one model explicitly branded as "Qwen 4" publicly available through an API, web interface, or downloadable model weights.
Teasers, announcements without public access, research papers, and leaks do not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Qwen 3.9+ (Alibaba Qwen) release date
Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date
Will Alibaba publish open weights for a Qwen 4 model on Hugging Face by November 25, 2026?
61% chance
When will the Quest 4 VR headset be released?
Will o4 be released before 2027?
1% chance
When will Qwen-Image-2.0 weights become publicly available?
5/11/27
Google Gemini 4 release date?
11/15/26
Gemini 4+ Flash (Google) release date